Ukuba amaxabiso ensimbi kulindeleke ukuba aqhubeke nokunyuka kwi-2023, imfuno yokuvelisa intsimbi kufuneka ibe phezulu kunokuphela kwe-2022. Vladimir Zapletin / iStock / Getty Images Plus
Ngokobuninzi babaphenduli kuvavanyo lwethu lwamva nje lweMarike yeNsimbi (i-SMU), amaxabiso eepleyiti ehlile okanye akwicala lokutshona.Sikwabona abantu abaninzi ngakumbi beqikelela ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kwiinyanga ezizayo.
Kwinqanaba elisisiseko, oku kungenxa yokuba sibona ukunyuka okuncinci kwixesha lokukhokela - umyinge weeveki ze-0.5 kungekudala.Ngokomzekelo, umyinge wexesha lokukhokela i-coil rolled coil (HRC) i-odolo yayingaphantsi kweeveki ezi-4 kwaye ngoku iiveki ze-4.4 (jonga uMfanekiso 1).
Amaxesha okukhokela anokuba ngumqondiso obalulekileyo okhokelayo wokutshintsha kwamaxabiso.Ixesha elikhokelayo leeveki ze-4.4 alithethi ukuba ixabiso eliphezulu liyi-win-win, kodwa ukuba siqala ukubona amaxesha okukhokela kwe-HRC kwi-avareji yeeveki ezintlanu ukuya kwezintandathu, amathuba okunyuka kwexabiso anyuka kakhulu.
Ukongeza, oomatshini bokungqusha abanakukwazi ukuthetha-thethana ngamaxabiso aphantsi kuneeveki ezidlulileyo.Khumbula ukuba kwiinyanga ezininzi, phantse bonke abavelisi babelungele izaphulelo ukuze baqokelele iiodolo.
Amaxesha okukhokela anyukile kwaye amancinci amancinci akulungele ukuvala izivumelwano emva kokuba i-US kunye ne-Canadian mills ibhengeze ukunyuka kwexabiso le-60 yeetoni (i-$ 3 yekhulu ubunzima) ngeveki emva koMbulelo.Kwikhiwane.Umzobo we-2 unikezela ngokufutshane malunga nokulindelwe kwexabiso ngaphambi nangemva kokubhengezwa kokunyuka kwexabiso.(Qaphela: I-Panel Mills izimisele ngakumbi ukuthethathethana ngamaxabiso aphantsi njengoko umenzi wepaneli okhokelayo uNucor ebhengeze i-$140 ngetoni nganye yokuthotywa kwexabiso.)
Uqikelelo lwahlulahlulwe phambi kokuba oomatshini bephaneli babhengeze ukunyuka kwamaxabiso.Malunga nama-60% akholelwa ukuba amaxabiso aya kuhlala ekwinqanaba elifanayo.Oku akuqhelekanga.Ngokuphawulekayo, phantse i-20% ikholelwa ukuba iya kudlula i-$ 700 / tonne, kwaye enye i-20% okanye ilindele ukuba yehle kwi-$ 500 / tonne.Oku kwandimangalisa ngelo xesha, njengoko i-$ 500 / tonne yayisondele ekuqhekekeni nakwiplanti edibeneyo, ngakumbi xa ubeka isaphulelo kwixabiso lendawo yekhontrakthi.
Ukususela ngoko, i-$ 700 / ton (30%) isihlwele sikhulile, malunga ne-12% kuphela yabaphenduli abalindele ukuba amaxabiso abe yi-500 yeedola / itoni okanye aphantsi kwiinyanga ezimbini.Kwakhona kunomdla ukuba amanye amaxabiso aqikelelweyo angaphezulu nangaphezulu kunexabiso elijoliswe kuyo elinobundlongondlongo le-700 yeedola / t ezibhengezwe ngamashishini athile.Esi siphumo sibonakala ngathi silindele omnye umjikelo wokunyuka kwexabiso, kwaye bakholelwa ukuba oku kunyuka okongezelelweyo kuya kuzuza ngokukhawuleza.
Siphinde sabona utshintsho oluncinci kumaxabiso kumaziko eenkonzo, ecebisa impembelelo ethile elandelayo yamaxabiso aphezulu asefektri (jonga isazobe 3).Ngelo xesha, inani lamaziko eenkonzo landa (11%), ukunyuka kwexabiso lengxelo.Ukongeza, bambalwa (46%) abaya kuthoba amaxabiso.
Sabona umkhwa ofanayo ngo-Agasti noSeptemba emva kokunyuka kwamaxabiso emveliso.Ekugqibeleni, basilela.Inyaniso kukuba iveki ayenzi umkhwa.Kwezi veki zimbalwa zizayo, ndizakube ndijongile ukuze ndibone ukuba amaziko eenkonzo ayaqhubeka nokubonisa umdla ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso.
Kwakhona khumbula ukuba ukuvakalelwa kunokuba ngumqhubi wexabiso elibalulekileyo kwixesha elifutshane.Sibone ukunyuka okukhulu kwe-positivity mva nje.Bona umkhiwane.4.
Xa bebuzwa ukuba banethemba malunga nembono yesiqingatha sokuqala sika-2023, i-73% yayinethemba.Ngenxa yokuba ikota yokuqala ihlala ixakekile, asiyonto ingaqhelekanga ukubona ithemba kunyaka omtsha.Iinkampani zizalisa kwakhona izitokhwe zazo phambi kwexesha lokwakhiwa kwentwasahlobo.Emva kweeholide, umsebenzi weemoto wanda kwakhona.Ngaphezu koko, awusayi kuba nexhala malunga neerhafu zesitokhwe ekupheleni konyaka.
Nangona kunjalo, andizange ndilindele ukuba abantu babe nethemba malunga nezihloko malunga nemfazwe yaseYurophu, inzala ephezulu kunye nokudodobala koqoqosho.Indlela yokuyichaza?Ngaba lithemba malunga nenkcitho yeziseko ezingundoqo, izibonelelo zoMthetho wokuNcitshiswa kwexabiso lentengo ezikhuthaza ukwakhiwa kweefama zomoya nelanga ezisebenza ngamandla entsimbi, okanye enye into?Ndingathanda ukwazi ukuba ucinga ntoni.
Into endikhathazayo encinci kukuba asiboni utshintsho olubalulekileyo kwimfuno jikelele (jonga umfanekiso 5).Uninzi (66%) luchaze ukuba imeko izinzile.Baninzi abantu abathi bayehla (22%) kunokuba bebenyuka (12%).Ukuba amaxabiso aqhubeka nokunyuka, imboni yensimbi kufuneka ibone ukuphuculwa kweemfuno.
Ngalo lonke ithemba malunga no-2023, enye into endenza ndizibuze yindlela amaziko eenkonzo kunye nabavelisi abaluphatha ngayo uluhlu lwabo.Ndicinga ukuba ngoku ndingatsho ukuba u-2021 ngunyaka wokubuyisela kwakhona, i-2022 ngunyaka wokutshatyalaliswa, kwaye i-2023 ngunyaka wokubuyisela kwakhona.Kusenjalo.Kodwa akukho malunga amanani.Uninzi lwabaphenduli kuphando lwethu luyaqhubeka nokuxela ukuba babambe isitokhwe, kunye nenani elibalulekileyo eliqhubeka nokutsala isitokhwe.Zimbalwa kuphela izitokhwe zokwakha ezixeliweyo.
Uqoqosho lwemveliso olomeleleyo ngo-2023 luxhomekeke ekubeni kwaye xa sibona umjikelo wokubuyisela impahla kwakhona.Ukuba bekufuneka ndikhethe into enye ukuze ndibeke iliso kwiiveki ezimbalwa ezizayo ngaphandle kwamaxabiso, amaxesha okukhokela, iintetho zefektri, kunye nemvakalelo yokuthengisa, kuya kuba ngamasheya omthengi.
Ungalibali ukubhalisa kwiNkomfa yeNsimbi yaseTampa ngoFebruwari 5-7.Funda ngakumbi kwaye ubhalise apha: www.tampasteelconference.com/registration.
Siza kuba nabaphathi abaphezulu abavela kwiifektri zase-US, eCanada naseMexico, kunye neengcali ezikhokelayo kumandla, umgaqo-nkqubo wezorhwebo kunye ne-geopolitics.Eli lelona xesha liphezulu labakhenkethi eFlorida, ke cinga ngokubhukisha kwakamsinyane.Amagumbi ehotele ayenganelanga.
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Ixesha lokuposa: Feb-15-2023